Polyurethane main raw material will usher in peak in 2006

Industrial analysts at the American Chemical Market Association (CMAI) believe that after seven years of weakness and depression, the US chemicals, plastics, and fibers market began to undergo a fundamental and sustained recovery, but from a highly-stressed energy market and The pressure of importing finished products has made the petrochemical companies profitable challenges still exist.

In the first quarter of 2004, the development of the global economy was relatively normal. Despite some sudden blows, the global economy was still in a healthy development track. Therefore, the petrochemical industry has also entered a golden period of digesting excess production capacity. At the same time, with the gradual digestion of excess production capacity, the supply and demand relationship of global petrochemical products has begun to become tense. CMAI predicts that the surplus capacity of some key petrochemical products will continue to digest until 2006.

PolyU's authoritative market research institute, Perma Consulting, also made a similar forecast. Specific analysis data shows that if the tense market conditions can be improved, the pre-tax profit of polyurethane main raw materials in 2004 can reach 80 US dollars/ton, and it will reach around 2006. The highest point of this round of the market is about RMB 120/t.

After the "May 1st" holiday, the price of main raw materials of polyurethanes continued to rise. The spot price of AA remained at the pre-holiday level of 11,850-12,100 yuan/ton, and the BDO market enquiry was positive. It will be again at the current price of 17500-18,000 yuan/ton. Upgrading, domestic TDI manufacturers intend to increase the price of 100-200 yuan / ton; domestic goods after the holiday prices in the 17400-17500 yuan / ton; overall price rise probability; post-holiday major soft foam polyether water in ex-factory price 10800-10900 Yuan/ton; the highest price of pure MDI market is around 35,000; the downstream of polymerization MDI enters the peak season in May, and the price is around 24,500.