Source: Zhuo Chuang Information
Imports of imported natural gas increased by more than 40% year-on-year in 2018, playing a very important role in domestic natural gas supply. In the future, there will be a number of LNG receiving stations in China, and LNG imports will reach a new level; the commercial exploitation of domestic shale gas will gradually accelerate, and the supply of domestic natural gas will also increase. It is expected that the supply and demand situation of China's natural gas will be more and more moderate in the next two years.
According to the data of Zhuo Chuang Information Annual Report, the supply and demand situation of China's natural gas in 2018 has been moderated compared with last year, and the supply is slightly abundant. Even after entering the winter, it is only a short-term “tight balance†situation.
In the past year, the natural gas supply and demand situation was very tense in the winter, and the downstream industrial users were restricted in gas conditions. The LNG price as the peaking gas source also appeared extremely high.
The reason why the supply and demand situation this year is relatively moderate, there are several reasons for this: First, domestic gas fields increase production, production continues to grow; second, imports of foreign imported gas have increased significantly year-on-year; third, comprehensive notes of China National Petroleum Corporation and Sinopec underground gas storage Gas, preparing for the winter supply; Fourth, the “natural gas pipeline interconnection plan†was smoothly promoted, the South-East Gas Transmission Project, the West Second Line and the Sichuan-East Gas Transmission to China Unicom, the West-East Gas Transmission and the Shaanxi-Beijing System Unicom, etc.; Strengthen the natural gas marketization process and open the receiving station LNG window period to trade in the Shanghai Oil and Gas Trading Center.
Among them, the substantial increase in imports has played a very important role in securing supply. According to the data on natural gas imports at the end of November disclosed by China's General Administration of Customs, in the first 11 months, natural gas imports were 81.19 million tons, of which 475 million tons of liquefied natural gas were imported, up 48.5% year-on-year; gas imported natural gas was 33.67 million tons, up 26.8% year-on-year. The substantial increase in imports in 2018 has played a significant role in the increase in supply.
According to statistics, as of October 2018, China has operated a total of 19 LNG receiving stations, including 4 small receiving stations, with a total receiving capacity of 61.67 million tons/year. Three new receiving stations were put into operation this year, namely the 3 million tons/year Sinopec Tianjin receiving station put into operation in February, the 4 million tons/year Shenzhen Diefu receiving station put into operation in August and the 3 million tons/year Xinao Zhoushan. Receiving station. In the next two years, it is expected that the new Austrian Zhoushan LNG receiving station Phase II, Shenzhen Huaan LNG receiving station, Fangchenggang LNG receiving station, Zhongtian Energy's Chaozhou and Jiangyin LNG receiving stations will be put into use, and the receiving capacity and receiving volume of LNG will be expected. There has been a substantial increase.
In addition to importing LNG, domestic natural gas production will also increase accordingly. According to market news, China's largest shale gas production base - CNPC Chuannan shale gas base has been fully completed, it is estimated that the annual output can reach 4.2 billion cubic meters, an increase of 40%. With the domestic support of unconventional natural gas utilization such as shale gas, the commercial exploitation of shale gas will also greatly increase the supply of domestic natural gas.
In summary, under the expectation of “double†accelerated growth of domestic and foreign supply, the domestic supply of natural gas will reach a new level in the future, the domestic natural gas supply and demand situation will be more and more moderate, and the development of natural gas market will also come. The more complete.
Editor in charge: Gu Wen
This article is posted on the website for the purpose of transmitting more information and does not imply endorsement of its views or confirmation of its description.
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