The postal industry continues a good momentum of overall stability, stability and efficiency
The postal industry continued the good momentum of overall stability, stability and efficiency. In the first three quarters, the main indicators of the postal industry maintained steady and rapid growth, the business structure continued to be optimized, the quality and efficiency continued to improve, and the major strategies for serving the country were effective.
The whole industry maintains steady and rapid growth
1. The whole industry continued to maintain medium and high-speed growth, and the growth trend stabilized and slowed down. According to the statistics of the “Expression Industry Development Trend and Investment Planning Analysis Report†issued by the Prospective Industry Research Institute, in the first three quarters of 2018, the total business volume and business income of the postal industry exceeded 800 billion and 500 billion yuan respectively, both of which increased by more than 20%. %. In terms of quarterly, the year-on-year growth rate of the first, second and third quarters of the industry was 32.9%, 25.1% and 24.6%, respectively. The year-on-year growth rate of business revenue was 23.6%, 21% and 18.4% respectively. Compared with the situation of volume and speed in the second and third quarters of last year, the growth rate in the third quarter of this year has dropped.
2. The growth rate of express delivery in the third quarter has rebounded, and the monthly flow has become more balanced. In the first three quarters of 2018, the national express delivery business completed 34.74 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 26.8%, and the express business income reached 424.63 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24%. Among them, the business volume and business income of the same city were 7.97 billion and 64.82 billion yuan respectively, up 24.8% and 29.5% respectively. The business volume and business income of different places were 25.98 billion pieces and 217.05 billion yuan respectively, up 27.1% and 24.2% respectively. International/Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan business and business revenues were 790 million and 42.85 billion yuan respectively, up 39.3% and 15.3% respectively.
In the first three quarters of 2018, the year-on-year growth rate of national express delivery business and business revenue decreased compared with the same period of last year. From the quarterly perspective, the growth rate of express delivery business in the first, second and third quarters was 30.7%, 25% and 25.6% respectively. After experiencing the growth rate in the second quarter, the signs of growth in the third quarter began to show signs. In all sectors of the related industry, express delivery growth continues to lead. The difference between the monthly volume of express shipments showed a contraction trend, the characteristics of the light seasons tend to fade, and the monthly flow is more balanced.
3. The growth rate of postal delivery business slowed down, and the proportion of parcel services continued to increase. The year-on-year growth rate of postal delivery service business decreased by 0.7 and 5.5 percentage points respectively compared with the same period of last year. The monthly delivery service volume has declined for four consecutive months. The growth of parcel business slowed down. In terms of structure, the package business accounted for 15% and 64.4% of the total amount of postal delivery services, respectively, up 4.4 and 6.2 percentage points from the same period last year.
4. The growth rate has been clearly differentiated, and the growth rate of some leading provinces has declined. Affected by factors such as urban function relief and e-commerce user transfer, the growth rate of express delivery business in the leading provinces of Beijing and Shanghai has slowed down, but the growth rates of Guangdong and Zhejiang provinces are relatively stable, at 28.7% and 26.7% respectively. The growth rate of Hebei, Henan and other provinces has risen. In the first three quarters, the growth rate of Hebei express business increased by 12 percentage points over the same period of last year, reaching 47.3%; the growth rate of Henan express business increased by 5 percentage points over the same period of last year, reaching 38%.
Industry layout structure continues to optimize
1. The effect of sinking is obvious, and the effect of radiation is more prominent. With the development of express delivery, the breadth and depth of network coverage, the “centralized†characteristics of express delivery business clustered in provincial capitals began to weaken, and the distribution of express traffic within and within the provinces tends to be balanced and the flow efficiency is improved. . Among the 27 provinces except the municipality directly under the central government, the proportion of provincial capital city business decreased to more than 50%, and the proportion of other provincial capital cities also showed a downward trend.
2. The concentration of leading enterprises continued to increase, and specialized services grew rapidly. In the first three quarters of 2018, the growth rate of major express delivery companies continued to exceed the growth rate of the industry, which led to an increase in industry concentration. The CR8 increased from 78.7 at the end of 2017 to 81.4, and the CR6 rose from 67.2 at the end of 2017 to 69.2, an increase of 2.7 and 2 points respectively during the year. In addition to listed companies and state-owned enterprises, Jingdong, Suning, Pinjun and other brands that focus on e-commerce express delivery and excellent speed, Aneng and other heavy-duty express delivery have also achieved rapid growth.
3. The effectiveness of overseas distribution has begun to show, and the flow of exports to Asia continues to expand. In the first three quarters of 2018, various enterprises increased the international business layout, driving the international express delivery business to increase by 39.3% year-on-year, an increase of 7 percentage points over the same period of last year, accounting for 2.3% of the total business volume, an increase of 0.2 percentage points over the same period last year. Among them, driven by the increase in international routes of Asian countries by major express delivery companies, the proportion of major companies exporting Asian postal (fast) items increased from 9.9% at the beginning of the year to 12.2%.
Industry high-quality development process speeds up
1. The appeal rate, satisfaction and punctuality rate improved simultaneously, and the service quality index increased rapidly. In the first three quarters of 2018, the public service satisfaction score of the express service was 78 points, up 0.8 points year-on-year; the 72-hour on-time rate was 72.4%, up 1.7% year-on-year; the effective appeal rate for express delivery service was 2.3 million parts per million, a significant improvement over the same period last year. . The service quality index has been growing faster than the growth rate index for six consecutive months. The contribution rate to the development index has exceeded 50% for four consecutive months, which has become an important factor driving the improvement of the express development index.
2. The unit price of express delivery business has gradually stabilized, and the low-price competition of key provinces has eased. Since 2018, under the strong promotion of the supply-side structural reform of the postal industry, express delivery companies have paid more attention to timeliness and service enhancement, and the price competition has eased. In the first three quarters, the unit price of express delivery business showed a steady trend. Among the provinces and cities with the highest volume of express delivery business, the unit prices of express delivery in Beijing, Shanghai and Jiangsu continued to maintain positive growth year-on-year. Although Guangdong is still in a year-on-year decline, the decline tends to narrow.
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